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PS still (barely) ahead in latest poll despite political crisis

PS would win the elections according to latest poll

Not even the political crisis that has seen Prime Minister António Costa and Minister of Infrastructure João Galamba resign is enough to dethrone Portugal’s Socialist Party (PS) in the latest poll carried out by TVI/CNN Portugal.

While it is by a very slim margin, PS continues to lead with 26% of those queried saying they intend to vote for the Socialists in the upcoming election, just one percentage point more than those planning to vote for the main opposition party, PSD (25%), but a huge decrease compared to the 2022 election (41.3%).

This might seem like good news for PSD on paper, but the truth is that it the social democrats have been unable to improve the 27.6% of votes they received in the 2022 election, failing thus to capitalise on the struggles of its rival party.

CHEGA may very well be the biggest ‘winner’, with 17% of respondents choosing the far-right party, a 10 percentage point increase compared to the 2022 elections. The party is steadily securing its place as Portugal’s third strongest political force.

Left-wing party Bloco de Esquerda and centre-right party Iniciativa Liberal have both seen increases, from 4.4% to 8% and 4.9% to 6%, respectively.

The poll’s results are less favourable for CDU, the coalition which includes Portugal’s Communist Party (PCP), which has dropped from 4.3% to 3%, with PAN (People, Animals and Nature) and leftists Livre also sitting at 3%, but having practically doubled their percentages.

Christian democrats CDS-PP, who formed a coalition government with Passos Coelho’s PSD not too long ago but lost all parliamentary seats in the 2022 election, continue to struggle with just 1%.

The poll was carried out by Aximage and queried 504 people over the age of 18 in Portugal.

By Michael Bruxo

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