Moody’s push for precautionary credit line

Moody’s push for precautionary credit line

Ratings agency Moody’s today joined the growing pressure on Portugal to seek an EU credit line when exiting its multibillion-euro bailout program in May.
Praising the country for bringing its 2013 budget deficit down to “significantly” below the troika-set target, Moody’s stressed nonetheless that the country could “gain more” by asking Brussels for a precautionary line of credit – particularly as this would help the country attain a sustainable level of economic growth.
The news comes less than a week after economy minister Pires de Lima said Portugal could well make a clean exit from its three-year bailout, just like Ireland.
But many disagree, saying Portugal isn’t anything like Ireland.
Speaking at the recent World Economic Forum in Davos, Nicholas Spiro of Spiro Sovereign Strategy said: “The reality is that Portugal is not Ireland — and even Ireland will struggle to stand on its own two feet.
“Ireland can just about get away without a safety net, but Portugal almost certainly can’t. Yet by deciding against applying for a credit line, Dublin has made things even more politically difficult for Lisbon. There’s now even more stigma attached to a post-bailout precautionary program.”
Joining the growing pressure on Portugal’s decision-makers, Moody’s say that whatever the case, the country needn’t make any decisions until “very close to the end of the program for financial assistance in 2014”.